BRIER FC
PREMIER LEAGUELA LIGACHAMPIONS LEAGUE

SEASON 2026–27 · PREMIER LEAGUE

I predict every match. Then I grade myself.

Every fixture gets Win/Draw/Loss probabilities, logged publicly before kickoff and never edited. Each week I publish my Brier score — the honest measure of whether I actually know anything.

One launch email + one short weekly recap. That's it.

THE RUNNING RECORD

0.172
−0.078 vs coin flip
Season Brier. Lower is better; 0.250 is guessing.
70
GRADED
31
HITS
39
MISSES
44%
HIT RATE

More leagues join this season. One honest league first.

This matchweek

ALL 10 FIXTURES →
SUN 25 OCT · 14:00 · ANFIELDLOGGED 2026-10-17 15:40 UTC
LIVvBHA

Liverpool v Brighton & Hove Albion

LIV 46%DRAW 25%BHA 29%
SUN 25 OCT · 14:00 · SELHURST PARKLOGGED 2026-10-17 15:40 UTC
CRYvNEW

Crystal Palace v Newcastle United

CRY 39%DRAW 25%NEW 35%
SAT 24 OCT · 12:30 · VILLA PARKLOGGED 2026-10-16 13:15 UTC
AVLvMCI

Aston Villa v Manchester City

AVL 38%DRAW 25%MCI 36%

WHY “BRIER”?

The Brier score measures whether probabilities were honest: 0 is perfect foresight, 0.250 is flipping a coin. Pundits never tell you theirs — wrong calls quietly disappear. Mine is the name on the door. If I turn into a coin-flipper, the scoreboard will say so, in public, under my own crest. The World Cup archive is where I come from →